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Mutual Fund
Facts To Consider
Press release issued August 14, 2006, by Standard & Poor's.
New York, August 14, 2006 – Standard & Poor’s, the world’s
leading provider of independent investment research, indices and
ratings, released today its latest mutual fund persistence
scorecard that measures the consistency of top mutual fund
performers over time. Through June 30, 2006, Standard & Poor’s
scorecard shows very few funds manage to consistently repeat top
half or top quartile performance.
Over
five-years ending June
30, 2006, only 58 (10.8% or 1 out of 9) large-cap funds, 12 (7.9%,
or 1 out of 13) mid-cap
funds, and 19 (7.7%, or 1 out of 13) small-cap funds maintained a
top-half
ranking over five consecutive 12-month periods. A total of 3
large-cap funds (1.12%, or 1 out of every 89), zero mid-cap funds and 1 small-cap fund
(0.81%, or 1 out of every 123) maintained a top-quartile ranking over the same period.
“Standard & Poor’s research shows that very few funds manage
to consistently repeat top half or top quartile performance,”
says Srikant Dash, Index Strategist at Standard & Poor's. “The
low count of mutual funds that consistently maintain top
quartile rankings is a sobering reminder about the risks of
chasing past performance.”
Looking at longer time horizons, only 17.5% (less
than 1 out of 6) of large-cap funds with a top quartile ranking over five
years ending June 30, 2001 maintained a top quartile ranking
over the next five years ending June 30, 2006. Only 6.8% (less
than 1 out of 14) of mid-cap funds and 18.7% (less than
1 out of 6) of small-cap funds repeated their top quartile performance
over the same period. Similarly, 36.3% of large cap funds, 26.4%
of mid cap funds and 47.0% of small cap funds with a top half
ranking over five years ending June 30, 2001 maintained a top
half ranking over the next five years ending June 30, 2006.
“Our research has found that consistent, top performing funds
tend to share similar characteristics, in particular, more
experienced management teams which can successfully maneuver
their funds through volatile markets,” says Rosanne Pane, Mutual
Fund Strategist at Standard & Poor’s. “Consistent, top
performers also tend to have lower expense ratios, and minimize
the expense drag on performance."
Survivorship
Fourth quartile funds continue to have a higher probability of
disappearing. The five-year transition matrix notes that 41.9%
of large-cap, 41.9% of mid-cap, and 39.2% of small-cap 4th
quartile funds disappeared due to mergers or liquidations.
Standard & Poor’s Mutual Fund Performance Persistence
Scorecard is the only comprehensive, periodic, and publicly
available source of such data.
About Standard & Poor’s Mutual Fund Performance
Persistence Scorecard
The semi-annual S&P Mutual Fund Performance Persistence
Scorecard tracks consistency of top performers over three and
five consecutive-year periods and measures performance
consistency, corrected for survivorship bias, through transition
matrices for one, three- and five-year non-overlapping holding
periods.
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